Heat Check ranks the week's sneaker drops by what the resale market is already paying: the lowest asks on GOAT compared with retail. 18 pairs are on the calendar for Oct 12 to Oct 18. These are the ones people actually want, and the ones you can safely wait on.
The heat
- Nike Caitlin 1 "Midnight Fever" (Wednesday, $140). The lowest ask is around $1,000, roughly 7 times retail. Early asks are thin before release, so treat that as a ceiling. Expect it to sell out fast: try the brand app and the big chains at the same time.
- PUMA MB.06 "Hills" (Friday, $130). The lowest ask is around $350, more than double retail. Expect it to sell out fast: try the brand app and the big chains at the same time.
- Nike Mind 002 WMNS "Work Blue" (Thursday, $145). The lowest ask is around $225, about 55% over retail. Worth a shot at retail if it is on your list.
- Nike Cryoshot Mercurial Vapor 1 OG "Chrome" (Tuesday, $200). The lowest ask is around $296, about 48% over retail. Worth a shot at retail if it is on your list.
Skip or wait
- Nike Air Foamposite One PRM "Glow in the Dark" (Friday, $250). Asks are already around $162, under retail. No need to fight the release; it should be easy to get later, possibly on sale.
- adidas Harden Vol. 10 "Snakeskin" (Friday, $160). Asks are already around $104, under retail. No need to fight the release; it should be easy to get later, possibly on sale.
- Nike Mind 001 "Black" (Thursday, $95). Asks are already around $81, under retail. No need to fight the release; it should be easy to get later, possibly on sale.
On the radar: Air Jordan 1 Low OG "Somos Historias" (Tuesday), NCAA x Nike Air Force 1 Low Pack (Thursday), Supreme x Martine Rose x Nike Dunk Low "Tyson" (Thursday) have no resale asks yet, which usually means a late, limited listing. Worth entering raffles for anyway.
The full week
Monday, October 12
Tuesday, October 13
Nike Giannis Freak 8 SE "Metallic Gold"Oct 13, 2026 · $115
Nike Cryoshot Mercurial Vapor 1 OGOct 13, 2026 · $200
Nike SB P-Rod 1 “Light British Tan”Oct 13, 2026 · $125
Air Jordan 1 Low OG “Día de Muertos”Oct 13, 2026
Wednesday, October 14
Thursday, October 15
Jordan Tatum 5 “Sunrise”Oct 15, 2026 · $135
NCAA x Nike Air Force 1 Low PackOct 15, 2026 · $125
Nike Mind 001 "Solar Red"Oct 15, 2026 · $95
Nike Mind 001 "Black"Oct 15, 2026 · $95
Nike Mind 001 WMNS "Palest Purple"Oct 15, 2026 · $95
Nike Mind 002 WMNS "Work Blue"Oct 15, 2026 · $145
Nike Mind 001 "Work Blue"Oct 15, 2026 · $95
Supreme x Martine Rose x Nike Dunk Low "Mike Tyson"Oct 15, 2026 · $150
Friday, October 16
Nike Air Foamposite Pro "Glow in the Dark"Oct 16, 2026 · $250
PUMA MB.06 "Hills"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
adidas Harden Vol. 10 "Snakeskin"Oct 16, 2026 · $160
S.F.T.M. x adidas Samba OG "Core Black"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
S.F.T.M. x adidas Samba OG "Base Green"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
S.F.T.M. x adidas Samba OG "Supplier Colour"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
S.F.T.M. x adidas SL 72 PRO "Cream White"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
S.F.T.M. x adidas SL 72 PRO "Wild Teal"Oct 16, 2026 · $130
Air Jordan 9 Boot “Olive”Oct 16, 2026 · $230
Saturday, October 17
How to shop these drops
- Tap any pair for its release time, retail price, style code and retailer links.
- Pairs marked Raffle have at least one store running a draw. Enter early: most close the day before release.
- Missed one? eBay Finds tracks new-condition pairs every day, often below typical resale.
- Resale prices move fast. These are the lowest asks when this guide was written, not a promise of what a pair will sell for.